Why Accurate Estimations Are Just Not Possible

Estimating a new feature... it's like a little fish swimming toward you.

little fish

Here comes the little fish.

little fish

Look at the little fish!

little fish

The fish is tiny!

little fish

I can eat this fish! I'll swallow him in one bite!

little fish

Are you sure it's going to be so easy?

little fish

Of course it will be easy! This fish is tiny!

little fish

But you've been wrong before.

little fish

Shut up, voice in my head, this fish is tiny! I'm staring straight at it!

little fish

One bite. Munch! Gone! This will be a cinch! It's hardly a fish! Just a dot! A tiny dot! I'll eat the tiny dot!

little fish

Here comes the fish!

little fish

Wait a second. I'm getting a bad feeling about this.

little fish

It's too late. You're committed now.

little fish

Here's the fish from side on.

little fish in profile

Oh. Damn.

 

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